Trends91 Geopolitical Intelligence
Taiwan does not face the prospect of becoming another Ukraine—a nation locked in a grinding, years-long land war of attrition. Instead, Taiwan faces something more precarious: a conflict that will be decided in weeks, not years, and will hinge on phenomena that Ukraine never experienced: naval blockade, amphibious assault, and the absence of contiguous alliance […]
India’s decision to opt out of the “Will for Peace 2026” BRICS naval exercises in January 2026—despite holding the BRICS chair that same year—is not a tactical maneuver but a declaration of structural incompatibility. While Indian officials framed the absence as a technical clarification (the exercises were “not institutionalized” BRICS activities), the underlying logic reveals […]
Iran’s potential regime collapse—triggered by cascading internal economic crises, military defeats inflicted by Israel and the United States, and mass anti-government protests beginning December 28, 2025—represents the most consequential geopolitical rupture in the Middle East since the Syrian civil war. However, unlike the Syrian case, Iran’s collapse will generate shockwaves far beyond the Levant, destabilizing […]
Russia’s recent geopolitical losses—the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria (December 2024), the capture of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela (January 2026), and its refusal to provide military support to Iran during a twelve-day conflict with the United States and Israel (2025)—present a critical inflection point in assessing Russian power status. The question whether Russia […]